LIVE · pushed
🤝 CRWV · 8-K strategic investment
+367%Ducky pushed the 8-K the morning it hit EDGAR. 77 days later CRWV printed a $187 ATH: +367%.
Ducky TradeBot · Telegram · 中文 / EN
The AI investing companion that lets you be lazy — right inside your Telegram.
Too many tweets, too many finance influencers, too much to sift by hand. Let Ducky do the sifting — it closes your information gap in real time, and looks a week and a month ahead for you, so you're always ready.
Executives buying their own stock, giants and sovereigns taking stakes, market panic levels — SEC filings hit your phone 2–5 minutes after EDGAR. Never trades, never picks stocks; every signal is read, reasoned, then logged to a public ledger — losers included, notarized nightly. Free: 3 alerts, no card.
Opens Telegram → @DuckyduckyTradeBot → send /start. One minute, no phone number kept, no new app.
9 signal sources · tap any to learn
Political trades USD liquidity
Ducky TradeBotonline · market hours
🚨🟢 INSIDER BUY — $1.12M / $TTMI
Dir, President & CEO · @ $121.70 · SEC EDGAR ›
🏢 High-end PCB / RF components — upstream of compute and defense
🦆 President & CEO put $1.12M of his own money into his own stock, near the yearly line
🤝 STRATEGIC 8-K — SK Telecom → $PENG · $200M PIPE
🦆 “Tier-1 telco taking >5% at a premium, small cap, thin float. Strategic Partner Score 9/10.”
🔴 K = 0.87 (Fear & Greed 18 ÷ VIX 20.7) → capitulation band
📊 Backtest (5y): K<1 has printed 27 times; buying SMH on each, all 27 were positive 60 days later, +49% avg (N=27 · see ledger)
⚠️ Always with a stop: around −8%, trim or stop out
Who it's for · US-stock traders who want the filing before FinTwit — plus DCA folks who want one ping when the level hits. In Chinese or English, straight to Telegram.
What has it actually pushed? One real one per category — and what happened next.
Real pushes from the ledger (some are the format rebuilt with real data) — open a category to see what happened next. Not investment advice.
Two things move money: seeing it first, and reading it right. A finance influencer just says 'July’s usually weak' — never opens the filing, never checks the cash flow. Ducky puts the same public filing in your hands 2–5 minutes early, and calls it swing or thesis. Both edges, closed for you.
🤝Whales & strategic stakes13D / 13G ≥5% stakes, 13F new positions, 8-K strategic investments; new relationships only, no re-pushes
🤝 STRATEGIC STAKE — NVIDIA → $NOK
NVIDIA buys $1.0B in new shares · $6.01/sh · 2.9% stake
🏢 Nokia · 6G / AI-RAN telecom gear — AI compute into the network
🦆 The chip leader stakes the equipment maker itself: a strategic signal, not a passive bet
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2025-10-28 · Nokia 6-K / Inside Information
DEMO · BACKTEST
+27%announcement-day high
The instant it hit, NOK opened $6.42 and spiked to $8.19 (+27% that day, close $7.77 / +22%, a decade high). Whoever saw the filing first caught that band.
Honest: a swing, not a trend — it gave it all back to $5.86 by Nov 20 (below the pre-announcement level) and sits ~$6.43 now, about where it opened. Harvest the +20–27% band, or round-trip if you just held. Wins and losses both on the ledger.
Coverage note (honest): Nokia is a foreign filer (SEC 6-K, not a US 8-K), so this is a demo; 6-K ingestion is a source we're adding. European personal insider buys (MAR/PDMR) aren't covered today.
🤝 13G — Berkshire Hathaway → $LEN
Berkshire Hathaway reports a ≥5% stake in Lennar (SC 13G). Same day: DAL 13G/A.
🦆 “Berkshire adds to homebuilders; 13G means passive. What matters is the direction, not a trade.”
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2026-08-17 11:00 UTC · SC 13G
LIVE
13G is a passive-stake filing; the push is a factual “who entered what” record; price fills in the ledger.
Recent in this category: Coatue 13G → Cerebras (2026-08-14); Situational Awareness LP 13D → SharonAI (2026-08-28).
More real receipts · from the ledger
LIVE · pushed
🤝 POWL · anonymous-customer 8-K
+73%Alert fired on filing day. 6 trading days later: $322, +73%.
LIVE · pushed
🤝 PENG · SK Telecom $200M PIPE
+150%Pushed it. FinTwit ignored it. 22 months later: $50, +150%.
💰Insiders quietly buyingSEC Form 4 open-market buys ≥ $200k, pushed minutes after filing; AI checks the company identity and scores 0–10
🚨🟢 INSIDER BUY — $1.12M / $TTMI
Roks Edwin · Dir, President & CEO · @ $121.70 · SEC EDGAR ›
🏢 TTM Technologies — high-end PCB / RF components, upstream of compute and defense
🦆 “President & CEO bought $1.12M of his own stock near the yearly line; high-frequency PCB sits upstream of AI servers.”
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2026-08-26 07:42 UTC · Form 4
LIVE
+8.4%push day · close
since push -2.5%as of 2026-08-28
On your phone minutes after the filing. TTMI closed the push day +8.4% ($112.3 → $121.7) and touched $129.5 the next session (+6.4% more). Ledger basis (close-to-close): +2.5%, with +5d / +20d auto-filled — wins and losses alike.
Same week: SGI — CEO bought $1.885M (2026-08-27); outcome pending in the ledger too.
🧲Cluster buysSeveral insiders of one company buying within days; size, headcount and industry read together
🟢 CLUSTER BUY — TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor · Semiconductor foundry
💰 Several insiders bought their own stock within days · share price then ~$403.31
📅 trade 2026-07-30
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2026-07-30 13:33 UTC
LIVE
+5.9%+20 trading days
since push +3.5%as of 2026-08-28
TSM +5.9% over the 20 trading days after the push ($403.31 → $427.3).
The July 22 push on the same name went −11.0% in 5 days and −2.2% in 20 — also in the ledger, not deleted.
📊Earnings, the priced-in readNo number-parroting after the print — only what was already priced in and what the market actually cares about
📊 NVDA · Earnings: beat, but the stock fell
Revenue and guide above consensus; the market is weighing AI-spend sustainability.
🦆 Read: neutral. Good news priced in; next test is guide delivery.
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2026-08-27 11:05 UTC · @ $227.98
LIVE
−4.6%next day
since push -4.6%as of 2026-08-28
NVDA −4.6% the next day. The push said “neutral”, not “buy” — the drop confirmed the “already priced in” read.
MRVL (2026-08-28): “beat overshadowed by Google-deal skepticism” — +1/+5/+20d filling in.
More real receipts · from the ledger
LIVE · pushed
🔻 Red rows too
−11.4% +5 trading days · LIVEPushed bullish after earnings; −11.4% five trading days later (+20d pending). It stays in the ledger. We show these too. A ledger with no red rows is a brochure.
🏛Officials & CongressSTOCK Act PTRs + OGE 278-T filings, pushed the same morning; 12 officials tracked
🏛 Congressional trade · Josh Gottheimer · sold ADC
Filed as a sale (direction: bearish). Agree Realty, net-lease REIT.
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2026-07-08 13:00 UTC · STOCK Act PTR
LIVE
−2.4%+20 trading days · direction: bearish
Push direction bearish; ADC −2.4% twenty trading days later — same direction, counted as a hit.
More real receipts · from the ledger
LIVE · pushed
🏛 Speed check · OGE 278-T
2 days earlier −2dCaught and pushed that morning; CNBC reported it two days later. 12 officials tracked.
🌡K-index “water level”K = CNN Fear & Greed ÷ VIX. Normally >2; lower = more panic. Four bands, pushed only on a band change
🟠 K-index 1.32 — deploy 1–2 tranches
Fear & Greed 33 ÷ VIX 25.0 = 1.32 · 7d 1.61 → 1.32
🩸 Dip gauge: SMH 62/100 · QQQ 58/100
Bands: K<2 watch · K<1.5 deploy 1–2 · K<1 capitulation
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format sample (illustrative values)
format sample
How it works (briefly): two public gauges divided into one “water level”; a push only when a band is crossed. K<1 is the strongest band — SMH averaged +49% over the next 60 days after each print in the last 5 years (backtest, N in the ledger).
The K-index is not a buy/sell instruction; it is a water-level gauge for staged DCA.
More real receipts · from the ledger
🩸 The strongest one: catching the capitulation knife
+70.7% since push · as of 2026-08-28
On the day K-index broke below 1 (capitulation), buying SMH at the signal close would sit here as of 2026-08-28. The single strongest print of the K<1 dip-buy logic — a backtest, one event, not a call.
Backtest · one signal · dozens more K-index rows in the full ledger, winners and losers alike
🌊 K-index receipt
📊 Backtest (5y): K<1 has printed 27 times; buying SMH on each, all 27 were positive 60 days later, +49% avg (N=27 · see ledger); QQQ ≈ +17%.
K = CNN Fear & Greed ÷ VIX · normally >2 · sub-1 = extreme panic · backtest, not a promise · sample is small — see caveat ↓
🌊USD Liquidity IndexFunding spread + bank reserves + Treasury TGA flow + net-liquidity momentum → 0–100 score, five regimes; pushed on regime change only
🔔 REGIME CHANGED: ⚪ BALANCED → 🟢 ABUNDANT
USD Liquidity: 80/100 🟢 ABUNDANT (2026-04-08)
SOFR vs IORB = −6bp · ON RRP ≈ $0B · reserves $3.3T · TGA −$41B w/w
🦆 “Banks are awash in cash: SOFR pinned below IORB, net liquidity +$172B over 13 weeks. Loose — the thing to watch is too-loose→bubble, not too-tight.”
Want it watching YOUR names? → /subscribe
2026-04-08 · push format rebuilt with that day’s real data
BACKTEST
+18.3%QQQ · to date
After the first 🟢 print of 2026 (04-08): QQQ +5.2% in a week, +14.7% in a month, +18.3% to date.
And when it tightens? Backtest (2024-05 → 2026-05): after a 🔴 STRESS regime the Nasdaq averaged about −1% over 3 months vs +4–6% after 🟢/🟡 — the index earns its keep by dodging drawdowns, not by timing entries. One bull cycle of sample; N in the ledger.
More real receipts · from the ledger
🌊 USD Liquidity Index receipt
+18.3% QQQ from that close · to date
🌊 USD Liquidity Index · 2026-04-08 · first 🟢 ABUNDANT print of 2026 (score 80) → had you bought QQQ at that close: +5.2% in a week, +14.7% in a month, +18.3% to date (605 → 716). Same window: SPY +14.1%, SMH +30.8%.
That day: SOFR 6 bp below IORB · net liquidity +$172B over 13 weeks · eSLR relief window · Reconstructed backtest (BACKTEST) · N=1 event · index = funding spread + bank reserves + TGA flow + net-liquidity momentum, reviewed every trading day, pushed on regime change · a record, not a promise
Hypothetical, equal-weight, excludes fees, slippage and taxes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Not investment advice.
🔔Alerts in plain languageOne sentence → compiled into a rule → scanned every 15 min in market hours; 3 free, 25 on Signal, 100 on Pro
Ping me when NVDA is oversold and IV is cheap
✅ Saved: NVDA · oversold AND IV cheap
Rule: RSI(daily) < 30 AND IV/HV < 0.9 · checked every 15 min in market hours
Cancel: “cancel NVDA alert”
🔔 NVDA triggered: oversold AND IV cheap
RSI(d) 28 · IV 38 vs HV 52 (0.73) · sitting on the 50-day · −3.1% vs SMH over 20d
format sample (illustrative values)
interaction sample
No brokerage does this — Futu / Tiger / IBKR only offer price and % alerts.
Then send “how’s NVDA” for a one-card snapshot: RSI d/w/m, retrace, relative strength, IV/HV, gamma walls, this week’s expected range.
These are selected examples, not a hit rate. The full track record is live: every signal listed add-only — never edited — with its +1/+5/+20-day return, losers included, LIVE and BACKTEST labeled separately. Open “Track record” in the nav any time. The examples here only show what the tool caught at the time.
See the full ledger (losers included) →🦆 Past-tense records and format samples; not investment advice. Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees and slippage. +1/+5/+20-day returns fill in automatically in the ledger.
Not another headline relay
Why we're different
Everyone pushes alerts. The difference is whether anyone — and an AI — actually read, computed, and thought before pushing.
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An AI that understands investing — not a parrot Every SEC filing and market-data point runs through our AI — it reads the filing, works out the historical odds, watches the actual cash flow, and says it in plain language. A finance influencer will tell you 'US stocks are usually weak in July' — no reasoning, never opens the filing, never looks at the cash flow, and their followers miss the real signal. Ducky does the opposite: it reads the actual filing, tells you why, and pushes it in minutes. A record, not a vibe.
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Instant, but not dumb Most competitors blast an alert the moment any official or politician files. We built a filter: only high-conviction trades, and only signals that actually correlate with where market volatility is right now. For example: the through-line of early 2026 was money rotating out of software and into semiconductors. Our market summary / strategy monitor tells you what the current through-line is and where the volatility is concentrated. Your holdings vs the market (against-market) — leading or lagging roadmap We don't tell you how to invest — we hand you the information, and tell you how Ducky is thinking.
Faster, deeper, only the real thing
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Speed: filed, then on your phone What an official or member of Congress (Pelosi, say) bought — you see it minutes after the filing posts, not hours later off a social feed.
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Deeper 13F: how much they actually added We keep our own holdings database and diff this quarter's 13F against last quarter's, position by position — the real add or trim, not just 'so-and-so showed up in a 13F'.
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Insider buys: only real money Only open-market purchases count. Some tools fold equity grants and option exercises into 'insiders buying' — we don't. Every buy is scored by an algorithm, and cash-on-the-table buys score higher.
Three horizons, your homework done: this week, next week, the month ahead — with the gap closed, you can finally afford to be lazy.
The week ahead
Next week's key events, the historical odds of similar setups, and the market's current implied odds.
This week, recapped
What actually happened this week, where the through-line was, who moved.
The month ahead
A month-out read on the tape: weather, water level, through-line — fair or stormy, liquidity loose or tight, where the money is rotating.
Eight boards. Pick the ones you read.
One Telegram group, eight boards. Keep what you read, mute the rest.
🧭 Daily brief & the tape
Upside-Confluence Digest. Every ticker ranked by how many independent bullish sources stack today (insider + partner + fund + hiring). Three different sources beat three copies of one. No jargon, just the point.
💰 Insiders quietly buying
Form 4 open-market buys ≥ $200k, 2–5 min after filing, with a 0–10 Smart Money Score.
🤝 Whale stakes & strategic partners
13D/13G, 13F new positions, 8-K PIPEs from Tier-1 corporates and sovereign funds. Plus 12 tracked officials' 278-T filings.
📊 Earnings, the two lines that matter
What's priced in before the print; the two lines that mattered after.
🧑💻 What hiring pages give away
Hiring pages as a leading indicator.
🌊 Water level · macro · K-index
Macro brief, USD liquidity, and the K-index prints.
📉 Oversold scan · cheap options
Twice a day intraday: beaten-down quality names where option IV is cheap vs realized HV and vs its own history (crash-HV-trap guarded). 🔭 = new find, 🎯 = cheap vol.
📅 Week ahead & pre/post market
Sunday: next week's schedule (exact ET times + chart). Daily pre-close: the trading-mode read (PIN / TREND / EVENT-VOL), grounding-checked so it can't invent a level.
🦆 Ducky's trades is a manual board — the builder's own log, “not a pick, a record + a discussion”.
K-index = Fear & Greed ÷ VIX
Usually above 2; under 1 means the crowd is puking as vol spikes — capitulation. A water level, not an instruction.
Four bands
- 🟢 K ≥ 2 — Calm. Sentiment is normal.
- 🟡 1.5 – 2 — Watch. Fear is starting to stack.
- 🟠 1 – 1.5 — Fear. Most pullbacks historically stopped here.
- 🔴 K < 1 — Capitulation. This is the print the receipt above is built on.
BACKTEST
Backtest box (pushed verbatim inside every 🔴 alert)
📊 Backtest (5y): K<1 has printed 27 times; buying SMH on each, all 27 were positive 60 days later, +49% avg (N=27 · see ledger); QQQ ≈ +17%
⚠️ Always with a stop — around −8%, trim or stop out. The alert carries this line every time; we don't strip it.
Straight up: that 100% is just 27 events, 27 up — a small sample. A water level for staged DCA, not a guarantee, not a price target.
DM it a ticker. Get the whole picture in one card.
Type “how’s NVDA” to @DuckyduckyTradeBot. Back comes the one-card snapshot:
🦆 NVDA · snapshot
Oversold: RSI day 28 / week 41 / month 55
Pullback: sitting on the 50-day, 4% above the d20 buy-zone
vs sector: −3.1% vs SMH over 20d — lagging
IV/HV: IV 38 vs HV 52 → options cheap vs realized
Gamma: call wall 145 · put wall 125 · flip 132
Expected range this week: 128 – 142
illustrative numbers · the real card is built from that day's data
Sub-sector aware — ALAB is measured against interconnect peers CRDO / MRVL / ANET, not against “tech”.
Then tell it what to watch. In plain language.
remind me when NVDA is oversold and IV is cheap
ping me if it breaks the 200-day
tell me if it lags semis by 5%
ping me if ALAB lags CRDO by 5%
- How
- The AI engine compiles your sentence once into a deterministic rule; the scanner runs it every 15 minutes during market hours. Cheap, deterministic, no phantom triggers.
- Why it matters
- No brokerage does this — Futu / Tiger / IBKR only offer dumb price and percent alerts.
- Caps
- Free 3 · Signal 25 · Pro 100.
Try it: DM @DuckyduckyTradeBot “how’s NVDA”
Two promises
① Never trades — not a trading bot, never touches your broker. ② Your list is private — yours alone, deletable any time.
Who it's for
US-stock traders who want the filing before FinTwit — plus DCA folks who want one ping when the level hits. In Chinese or English, straight to Telegram.
What we refuse to do
The most honest investment companion
Trust is built on restraint — here is what we deliberately choose NOT to do.
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Don't connect to your brokerage · can't touch your account · never place a trade Your money never passes through us — nothing to hack, nothing to front-run.
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Don't do your taxes · don't do personalized financial planning We're not a licensed advisor, and we won't pretend to know your whole financial life.
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Don't sell your data · don't take payment-for-order-flow kickbacks You pay us, so you're the customer — never the product being resold.
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Don't hide losers — every signal, win OR loss, is on the public ledger Red ink stays on the record, so you can check us yourself. See the public ledger →
Because we're not trying to be your broker or your advisor, we can just be honest — an investment companion whose only job is to be honest with you.
Who we are
We’re investors — same as you
Years in the market, and we’ve subscribed to almost every paid signal service out there — most $600–1500 a year. The takeaway: expensive, and they talk down to you. So we built our own.
One meal a month
Signal $12/mo · ¥599/yr — under ¥1.7 a day.
Earn it back 100×, 1000×
Our goal: help you earn this subscription back, many times over.
We don’t tell you how to invest — we hand you the fastest, cleanest information, and tell you how Ducky is thinking.
Why we decided it this way
Us vs a typical US-stock paid signal service — no names, just the facts.
| Ducky | A typical paid signal service | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | ¥599 / $108 a year | typically $600–1500 a year |
| Language | Plain Chinese (and EN), with the reasoning | often a long English PDF / list |
| Honesty | Public ledger — losers listed too | usually only the wins on show |
| Positioning | Information + judgment, never stock tips | often picks / call-outs |
| AI | An investing-savvy AI that says why it matters | mostly plain lists / news rehash |
Same public data (SEC / FINRA) — the only difference is whether it’s explained, computed, and put on the record.
See our public ledger →
roadmap
Track the finance creators you follow
The finance creators you follow — every day we sum up what they said into plain language and push it straight to Telegram, X / Twitter too.
In the works — coming soon.
Free is real. Paid is personal.
The free channel is the live demo; paid means it watches YOUR names.
Free
$0
Live demo + public ledger
- Live feeds
- Raw SEC insider / 13F / 8-K feed (public channel) · teased K-index band prints · public timestamped track record
- DM a ticker (AI card)
- —
- Natural-language alerts
- 3
- Scan cadence
- —
- Extras
- —
Signal
$12/mo $108/yr save 25%
It watches YOUR names
- Live feeds
- Everything in Free + live intraday K-index capitulation signal + 0–100 dip gauge (SMH/QQQ)
- DM a ticker (AI card)
- One-card snapshots (“how’s NVDA”): RSI day/week/month · pullback · vs sector · IV/HV
- Natural-language alerts
- 25
- Scan cadence
- every 15 min, market hours
- Extras
- Upside-confluence digest on your list · oversold auto-ping
Pro
$29/mo $261/yr save 25%
+ options timing desk
- Live feeds
- Everything in Signal
- DM a ticker (AI card)
- + gamma call/put walls & flip · weekly expected range · IV–HV history · sub-sector RS (ALAB vs CRDO/MRVL/ANET)
😱 retail-sentiment contrarian card roadmap - Natural-language alerts
- 100
- Scan cadence
- Every 15 min intraday · paid-priority queue
- Extras
- + gamma alerts · priority push (paid-only queue)
China · annual pass
¥599/yr
one payment · per year
Signal scope · data / signal / education
- Live feeds
- Everything in Signal
- DM a ticker (AI card)
- Same as Signal
- Natural-language alerts
- 25
- Scan cadence
- every 15 min, market hours
- Extras
- Chinese-first push · Alipay / WeChat / USDT
Which one?
- I DCA and want to know when to add → Signal
- Options refugee paying $48–99/mo for flow → Pro
- Futu / Tiger / IBKR US-stock trader → Signal or the ¥ annual pass
Every tier sees the same public ledger; paying buys the numbers on YOUR watchlist, not better numbers.
Billed annually shown; monthly available. Invite a paying friend → +1 month for both. Pay by Alipay / WeChat / USDT today; Telegram Stars and card coming.
“Is Pro worth it over Signal?” Only if you trade options: gamma walls, IV–HV, the weekly expected range and sub-sector RS live there.
🦆 Paid buys personalization (your watchlist), not “secret picks” · data / signal / education tool · not investment advice
FAQ
Is this stock picking?
No. Ducky surfaces filings, indicators and backtests, and explains them. It never tells you to buy anything and never gives a price target. Receipts are past tense on purpose. It is a data / signal / education tool. We are not a licensed adviser anywhere.
Does it trade for me?
Never. No brokerage connection, no orders. You decide.
I'm in mainland China. Can I use it?
The product lives on Telegram (a VPN is needed in mainland China): install Telegram → DM @DuckyduckyTradeBot → send /start — one minute to start. The ¥ annual pass takes Alipay / WeChat. We post receipt cards on Xiaohongshu and bilingual recaps on our WeChat channel.
How do I pay and cancel?
DM /subscribe to @DuckyduckyTradeBot. Alipay / WeChat / USDT now; Stars / card later. Cancel by not renewing — no lock-in.
How fast is “fast”?
Form 4 alerts land 2–5 minutes after EDGAR posts. 8-K partner filings the same morning. K-index prints intraday, edge-triggered.
What about the losers?
The ledger records every signal with a timestamp before the outcome exists. The track-record page lists +1/+5/+20-day returns by source — losers included.
Today's SEC filings are in the free channel today — see what it caught before deciding. Refer a paying friend: a month free for both.
🦆 Want it watching YOUR names?
🦆 Data / signal / education tool · not investment advice · past performance does not predict future results · backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees, slippage and taxes
Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees, slippage and taxes. Latency figures are measured, not a service commitment. Not affiliated with Telegram, the SEC, or any issuer named. Full disclaimer →