Ducky TradeBotTrack record
Every signal is logged with a timestamp before its outcome exists; +1 / +5 / +20 trading-day returns are filled in afterwards. Losers stay. BACKTEST and LIVE are labeled apart and never mixed. A notarized archive every night is the proof.
All signals
Click a header to sort (time · since push · +20d · strength); default is newest first.
💰 Insiders quietly buying — summary
How to read the insider rows — we don’t push everything. Our AI reads each Form 4 and checks the business against our theme database (semiconductor CapEx ramp, memory / AIDC, advanced packaging…), then weighs who bought and how much of their own money. An open-market insider buy shows the insider’s own cost basis — a firmer signal than talk. A higher score is a name we lean toward; losers are listed too.
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Hit rate by source
Hit = the return's sign matches the signal's direction. Every percentage carries its N=; rows with N below 20 are early readings, not conclusions.
| kind | mode | N | +5d hit | +20d hit | +20d avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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K-index backtest
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Strategy scorecard · vs SPY
Per signal source: hit rate, excess return vs SPY, performance by market regime, all-weather or not. Past tense; low-N rows are early reads.
| Source | N | +20D hit | +20D excess vs SPY | Beat SPY | All-weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Paper basket ducky-all vs SPY (equal-weight, PAPER)
USD liquidity backtest BACKTEST
Reconstructed backtest · N=1 event · bought at the signal-day close, adjusted closes · data as of 2026-08-28
| asset | 2026-04-08 close → last | +1w | +1m | +3m | to date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | 605 → 716 | +5.2% | +14.7% | +19.5% | +18.3% |
| SPY | 674 → 769 | +3.5% | +8.2% | +11.5% | +14.1% |
| SMH | 423 → 553 | +7.1% | +27.7% | +43.7% | +30.8% |
That day: SOFR 6 bp below IORB · net liquidity +$172B over 13 weeks · eSLR relief window · Reconstructed backtest (BACKTEST) · N=1 event · index = funding spread + bank reserves + TGA flow + net-liquidity momentum, reviewed every trading day, pushed on regime change · a record, not a promise
Hypothetical, equal-weight, excludes fees, slippage and taxes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Not investment advice.
Hypothetical equity curve LIVE · pushed
LIVE signals, equal-weight, held 20 trading days, base 100, no fees / slippage / taxes. Another drawing of the ledger — not any real account.
Notes
- +1 / +5 / +20 = close on the 1st / 5th / 20th trading day after the signal vs. the signal-day close (%). Blank means the day hasn't arrived.
- BACKTEST rows are historical replays; LIVE rows were actually pushed at the time. They are tallied separately and never mixed.
- The ledger file is archived and notarized nightly; the history shows every change.
Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees, slippage and taxes. Latency figures are measured, not a service commitment. Not affiliated with Telegram, the SEC, or any issuer named.
回测为假设性结果，不含手续费、滑点与税费。延迟数字为实测值，不是服务承诺。 与 Telegram、美国证监会（SEC）或文中提到的任何发行人均无关联。